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What is the Future for Managers in the Age of AI?

2022-08-22
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Illustration: © IoT For All

In 2020, the World Economic Forum released “The Future of Jobs Report” which made all sorts of astonishing predictions about how artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, and automation would alter the workforce over the next five years. The most startling prediction – one that’s been echoed by other industry analysts and futurists – is that 85 million jobs will be eliminated by A, and 97 million new ones will be created. This leaves us with a few burning questions. To begin with, which jobs are going to be eliminated, if any? AI tools are already being used to assist with management tasks such as customer service, HR, and accounting. Let’s explore some of the recent research being conducted in this field and take a look at the skills that may be required of workforce managers in the age of AI.

'AI may change our jobs and take over certain tasks, but it won’t necessarily be able to eliminate roles altogether.' -Rob Press Click To Tweet

Will AI Take Over Management?

As AI has grown more advanced in the areas of machine learning, natural language processing, and predictive analytics, there has been a lot of talk about it potentially taking over roles traditionally held by humans. This is particularly true in the case of management positions, where some people fear that AI will soon be able to do the job better than humans. Thankfully, research indicates that AI is more likely to work alongside us rather than instead of us:

  • In the 2020 Deloitte Human Capital Trends Report, 64 percent of respondents viewed AI as a means of assisting current roles and making them more efficient.
  • 66 percent of respondents of the Deloitte report expected more jobs to be generated and pre-existing jobs to be altered.
  • 2021 IDC FutureScape found that only a fifth of companies will gain value from AI management if humans aren’t involved or are replaced.

Markus Schmitt of Germany-based Data Revenue gave CMS Wire the following statement: “Even if 70 percent of the jobs would be taken by AI, it doesn’t necessarily mean that even one manager will lose his job. In this way, AI is no different from any other tool in the workplace, such as email, Excel, or a marketing automation tool. You could argue for each of these tools that they replaced 70 percent of the work for some managers, but it didn’t replace them, it just supported them in getting more done. It became second nature, and no one is questioning it.”

AI may change our jobs and take over certain tasks, but it won’t necessarily be able to eliminate roles altogether. Human interaction is still required for the tasks we fear will be taken over, so there is no need to fear for the livelihoods of our managers just yet.

The Role of AI in Management

Artificial intelligence is becoming more advanced by the second, but not so advanced that it can make human-like correlations between different tasks and departments in the workplace. Instead, AI is mostly used to speed up, automate, and polish processes to save time and money and eliminate errors. You might have used AI already if your company employs accounting software, CMS, scheduling software, or other efficiency-based organizational tools like staff scheduling software.

Gartner has identified four main areas where AI is currently of use in workplace management:

  1. HR administrative functions (admin HR): Core organizational and employee data
  2. HR service management (HRSM): Policies, case management, organizational procedures, and processes
  3. Talent Management: recruitment, onboarding, retention and turnover monitoring, performance data
  4. Workforce management (WFM): Absence management, time capture, time and attendance, tasks/activities, budgeting, forecasting, and scheduling

According to John Brownridge of Deloitte, the work areas “ripe for disruption” are the large-scale data-based tasks that involve plenty of repetition and that run based on a set of rules. Tasks that directly relate to how an organization generates value, however, like using AI-collected data to make decisions about hiring and firing, are best left to the human brain.

Skills Necessary for Managers in the Age of AI

As AI tools begin to disrupt the workplace across the areas mentioned, managers won’t necessarily be losing their jobs in droves, but they will need to acquire new skills in order to fully understand and make use of machine learning in their day-to-day tasks. There are a few specific skills that will help managers to stand out as ideal candidates in the age of AI:

#1: Emotional Intelligence

According to a Capgemini survey, 74 percent of executives believe that emotional intelligence will become an essential skill. The demand for EI is expected to increase by up to six times as AI grows more prevalent. In the age of artificial intelligence, we need to retain those people who can connect with others and who can display empathy, understanding, and humanity in the workplace. Emotional AI is rapidly advancing in terms of being able to decipher human feelings, but it’s a long way from being able to operate as an emotional being in the workplace.

#2: Human-AI Cooperation

Richard Baldwin, the leading globalization expert, wrote a book, The Globotics Upheaval: Globalization, Robotics, and the Future of Work, in which he outlined three action steps for success in the age of AI:

  1. Avoid competing with AI: Understand that it is simply better at processing information at scale.
  2. Build skills in human-only areas (emotional intelligence, questioning, strategy, creativity, dexterity, empathy-based social skills).
  3. View your humanity as a competitive edge instead of a handicap or disadvantage.

From these points, we can conclude that the best way to stay relevant is to work alongside artificial intelligence, fill the gaps it creates, and see how its capabilities can complement – not compete against – our own.

#3: STEM Skills

The third skill set that managers should be pursuing is one relating to STEM (science, technology, engineering, mathematics). A recent study found a strong link between increased investment in AI and increased demand for STEM skills. Interestingly, firms that transition to AI usually move to a more educated workforce of people who understand the science behind new technologies. These people are considered more adept at being able to work with new technologies.

What Does the Future Hold?

The latest industry research points to a need for managers to reframe the way they view AI disruption. Instead of being threatened, understand that you can gain the skills required to work alongside this technology. You can fill the gaps artificial intelligence cannot fill and use it to your advantage in the workplace.

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  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Automation
  • Data Analytics
  • Remote Management

  • Artificial Intelligence
  • Automation
  • Data Analytics
  • Remote Management
  • Work

参考译文
人工智能时代的管理者的未来是什么?
世界经济论坛(wef)在2020年发布的《未来就业报告》(the Future of Jobs Report)中,对未来5年人工智能(AI)、机器人、自动化将如何改变劳动力做出了各种惊人的预测。最令人吃惊的预测——一个得到其他行业分析师和未来学家响应的预测——是8500万个工作岗位将被淘汰,而9700万个新岗位将被创造出来。这给我们留下了几个紧迫的问题。首先,如果有的话,哪些工作将会被淘汰?人工智能工具已经被用于协助管理任务,如客户服务、人力资源和会计。让我们来探讨一下这个领域最近进行的一些研究,并看看在人工智能时代,劳动力经理可能需要哪些技能。随着人工智能在机器学习、自然语言处理和预测分析等领域变得越来越先进,很多人都在谈论它可能会取代传统上由人类担任的角色。在管理岗位上尤其如此,一些人担心人工智能很快就能比人类做得更好。值得庆幸的是,研究表明,人工智能更有可能与我们一起工作,而不是代替我们。德国Data Revenue公司的马库斯·施密特(Markus Schmitt)在接受CMS Wire采访时表示:“即使70%的工作将被人工智能取代,这并不一定意味着即使有一个经理会失业。在这一点上,AI与工作场所的其他工具没有什么不同,比如电子邮件、Excel或营销自动化工具。你可能会说这些工具代替了一些经理70%的工作,但它们并没有取代他们,只是支持他们完成更多的工作。这成为了第二天性,没有人质疑它。“人工智能可能会改变我们的工作,接管某些任务,但它不一定能够完全消除角色。人类的互动仍然是需要的任务,我们担心将被接管,所以没有必要担心我们的管理者的生计。人工智能正变得越来越先进,但还没有先进到可以在工作场所的不同任务和部门之间建立类似人类的关联。相反,人工智能主要用于加速、自动化和优化流程,以节省时间和金钱并消除错误。如果您的公司使用会计软件、CMS、调度软件或其他基于效率的组织工具(如员工调度软件),那么您可能已经使用了AI。高德纳(Gartner)已经确定了人工智能目前在工作场所管理中的四个主要应用领域:根据德勤(Deloitte)的约翰•布朗里奇(John Brownridge)的说法,“成熟的颠覆性”工作领域是大规模的基于数据的任务,这些任务涉及大量重复,并基于一套规则运行。然而,与组织如何产生价值直接相关的任务,比如使用人工智能收集的数据来做出雇佣和解雇的决定,最好留给人类大脑。随着人工智能工具开始扰乱上述各个领域的工作场所,经理们不一定会大批失业,但他们需要获得新技能,以便在日常工作中充分理解和利用机器学习。在人工智能时代,有一些特定的技能可以帮助管理者脱颖而出,成为理想的候选人:根据凯捷的一项调查,74%的高管认为情商将成为一项基本技能。随着人工智能的普及,对EI的需求预计将增加至多6倍。在人工智能时代,我们需要留住那些能够与他人沟通、能够在工作场所表现出同理心、理解和人性的人。在解读人类情感方面,情感人工智能正在迅速发展,但它距离能够在工作场所作为情感存在进行操作还有很长的路要走。 领先的全球化专家理查德·鲍德温(Richard Baldwin)写了一本书《全球剧变:全球化、机器人技术和工作的未来》(the globglobtics剧变:全球化、机器人技术和工作的未来》(the globglobtics剧变:globalization, Robotics, and the Future of Work)》,他在书中概述了在人工智能时代取得成功的三个行动步骤:从这些观点来看,我们可以得出这样的结论:保持影响力的最佳方式是与人工智能合作,填补它创造的空白,看看它的能力如何与我们自己的能力互补,而不是竞争。管理者应该追求的第三种技能是与STEM(科学、技术、工程、数学)相关的技能。最近的一项研究发现,人工智能投资的增加与STEM技能需求的增加之间存在强烈联系。有趣的是,向人工智能转型的公司通常会招到受过更好教育的员工,他们了解新技术背后的科学。这些人被认为更善于使用新技术工作。最新的行业研究表明,管理者需要重新审视他们看待人工智能颠覆的方式。与其受到威胁,不如明白你可以获得与这种技术并肩工作所需的技能。你可以填补人工智能无法填补的空白,并在工作中发挥它的优势。
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